Posts tagged "cycles"

Price broke below the power-law model's floor price and has stayed there for 56 days. Across three comparable historical cycles, only one — 2022 — ever actually broke it.

One model tracks days from bear bottom to halving. Another tracks the fixed duration of bull and bear phases themselves. Neither knows the other exists — yet they converge on the same quarter.

Across three cycles, Bitcoin's bear-market low has landed 504-511 days before the next halving, almost every time. Run that forward and the next accumulation window falls on November 9-16, 2026.